The SportsLine projection model has revealed its Miami vs. Buffalo picks for the 2025 NFL Week 3 'Thursday Night Football' game

Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel said he plans to speak with the NFL about a potential missed call on what appeared to be a kneeldown fumble by Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen in the final seconds of Thursday's first half against the Dolphins.

Per Next Gen Stats, Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa combined to average 1.5 air yards per completion, the lowest mark in a game in the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016). Allen attempted only one pass longer than 10 air yards, while Tua completed as many passes behind the line of scrimmage as past it (11 each).

As a matter of fact, out of the four 0-3 teams that have made the postseason since 1990, the Texans are the only one that have pulled off the feat this century. That Texans team lost each their first three games by seven points or less, so they were just a few plays away from starting 3-0. They also played in a very winnable AFC South division.

NFL Week 3 begins with the Buffalo Bills hosting the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football tonight, Sept. 18, 2025. Start time, schedule and how to watch.

There’s no question that the play was a fumble, as the official box score attributes that to Josh Allen. The concern is how it played out.

The Jaguars and Buccaneers each won their games inside the final two minutes while the Dolphins lost to Buffalo on Thursday Night Football.

NFL prop picks and SGP bets for Buffalo vs. Miami on Thursday Night Football from the SportsLine Machine Learning Model AI